Shintaro Mochizuki vs Karl Poling Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Mochizuki displays a slightly better second serve performance winning 44.98% of points compared to Poling's 43.73%. Could this minor edge impact the final outcome?
• When it comes to returning games, Mochizuki has a slight advantage in second serve returns with 48.54%, above Poling’s 47.49%. However, Poling outshines Mochizuki on first serve returns with 29.06% versus 28.91%.
• Under pressure, Poling proves more resilient by saving 55.15% of breakpoints against Mochizuki’s 49.85%—a crucial factor for high-stakes moments during the match.
• Over the past year, Mochizuki holds a higher overall match win rate at 58.9%, surpassing Poling, who has a 52.86% win rate.
• Mochizuki thrives on grass, boasting a 58% win ratio, whereas Poling excels on indoor hard courts with a 55% winning percentage, yet struggles on grass with no wins recorded.
• During the last year, Mochizuki has predominantly played higher-level Challenger/ITF tournaments, posting a win rate of 60.78%, while Poling has competed mostly in lower-tier Futures/ITF tournaments, achieving a 52.08% win rate.
• Mochizuki has faced tougher opponents, with an average opponent rank of 253.3, compared to Poling's 419.43.
• In deciding sets, both players are evenly matched, each securing wins in 57% of these scenarios.
• Break point conversion rates are better for Poling at 38.64% compared to Mochizuki's 34.77%, highlighting a potential edge during break opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (August 14, 2025, UTC):

When evaluating the players’ recent performances and their specific strengths, Mochizuki edges out Poling with slight advantages in second serve performance and return statistics. These points, combined with Mochizuki's exposure to higher-level competition, suggest a readiness to face tougher opponents.

Despite Poling's notable ability to save breakpoints and convert them at a higher rate, Mochizuki's overall performance profile, including superior match and deciding set win rates, implies a marginal upper hand.

Given the current analysis, Mochizuki appears as the more likely victor in this upcoming match, considering their consistent performance against more challenging competition and better overall win record.